David Menninger's Analyst Perspectives
MAY 20, 2025
We live in a time of uncertainty, not unpredictability. Especially when a business finds itself on an undefined journey with an unclear destination whether caused by internal events or the world at large having plans to deal with a range of outcomes increases the odds of success. Or, at least enduring the least amount of damage.
CIO Business Intelligence
APRIL 28, 2022
auxmoney began as a peer-to-peer lender in 2007, with the mission of improving access to credit and promoting financial inclusion. Much of this reluctance stems from the regulatory environment, arising from lengthy reviews and approvals processes, or even simple near-term regulatory uncertainty. .
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Alation
JUNE 7, 2023
Uncertainty reigns These days, planning a dinner out can be as complicated as planning a global business acquisition. But recognizing the opportunity in uncertainty is what separates the winners from the pack. Silicon Valley VC firm Sequoia Capital agrees, pointing to all the uncertainty and change in the world as proof.
Occam's Razor
APRIL 8, 2013
Circle of Friends was a social community built atop Facebook that launched in 2007. They might deal with uncertainty, but they're not random. They celebrated a bit, then went on to fix the next biggest problem in the business. Case Study 2: Circle of Friends.
The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
APRIL 19, 2021
bar{pi} (1 - bar{pi})$: This is the irreducible loss due to uncertainty. If calibration matters, our recommendation is to follow the paradigm proposed by Gneiting (2007) : pick the best performing model amongst models that are approximately calibrated, where "approximately calibrated" is discussed in the next section.
The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
APRIL 23, 2024
Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments. There is also uncertainty related to our modeling choices — did we select the correct polynomial embedding function $f(x)$, or is the true relationship better described by a different polynomial embedding?
The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
JULY 22, 2020
For this reason we don’t report uncertainty measures or statistical significance in the results of the simulation. From a Bayesian perspective, one can combine joint posterior samples for $E[Y_i | T_i=t, E_i=j]$ and $P(E_i=j)$, which provides a measure of uncertainty around the estimate. 2] Scott, Steven L. 2015): 37-45. [3]
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