The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

APRIL 23, 2024

If $Y$ at that point is (statistically and practically) significantly better than our current operating point, and that point is deemed acceptable, we update the system parameters to this better value. And we can keep repeating this approach, relying on intuition and luck. Why experiment with several parameters concurrently?

Experimentation 52

Experimentation Optimization Uncertainty Metrics 52

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

JULY 22, 2020

For example, imagine a fantasy football site is considering displaying advanced player statistics. A ramp-up strategy may mitigate the risk of upsetting the site’s loyal users who perhaps have strong preferences for the current statistics that are shown. One reason to do ramp-up is to mitigate the risk of never before seen arms.

Experimentation 96

Experimentation Statistics Testing Knowledge Discovery 96

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

JUNE 30, 2016

In an ideal world, experimentation through randomization of the treatment assignment allows the identification and consistent estimation of causal effects. Identification We now discuss formally the statistical problem of causal inference. We start by describing the problem using standard statistical notation.

Statistics 45

Statistics Optimization Modeling Experimentation 45

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

MAY 31, 2016

A geo experiment is an experiment where the experimental units are defined by geographic regions. Statistical power is traditionally given in terms of a probability function, but often a more intuitive way of describing power is by stating the expected precision of our estimates. They are non-overlapping geo-targetable regions.

Advertising 43

Advertising Testing Sales Statistics 43

Occam's Razor

JANUARY 9, 2012

AND you can have analysis of your risk in almost real time to get an early read and in a few days with statistical significance! Allocate some of your aforementioned 15% budget to experimentation and testing. The 2015 Digital Marketing Rule Book. You can literally control for risk should everything blow up in your face.

Marketing 142

Marketing B2B Measurement Risk 142

O'Reilly on Data

DECEMBER 9, 2019

We develop an ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression model of equity returns using Statsmodels, a Python statistical package, to illustrate these three error types. CI theory was developed around 1937 by Jerzy Neyman, a mathematician and one of the principal architects of modern statistics. and an error term ??

Statistics 32

Statistics Uncertainty Risk Marketing 32